Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.033106 0.035541 0.037972 0.040579 0.043291 0.046026 0.048989
2025-09-07 0.028218 0.032075 0.036053 0.040448 0.045153 0.050023 0.055431
2025-09-14 0.024879 0.029505 0.034392 0.039906 0.045923 0.052260 0.059410
2025-09-21 0.022272 0.027432 0.032997 0.039390 0.046479 0.054052 0.062705
2025-09-28 0.019751 0.025243 0.031287 0.038349 0.046297 0.054895 0.064831
2025-10-05 0.018728 0.024655 0.031280 0.039125 0.048054 0.057806 0.069168
2025-10-12 0.017584 0.023839 0.030941 0.039457 0.049253 0.060048 0.072723
2025-10-19 0.016250 0.022715 0.030174 0.039232 0.049765 0.061473 0.075323
2025-10-26 0.015672 0.022456 0.030385 0.040110 0.051513 0.064273 0.079452
2025-11-02 0.014803 0.021791 0.030070 0.040336 0.052476 0.066156 0.082526
2025-11-09 0.013840 0.020956 0.029511 0.040233 0.053025 0.067540 0.085010
2025-11-16 0.013048 0.020298 0.029131 0.040316 0.053767 0.069126 0.087709
2025-11-23 0.012064 0.019393 0.028469 0.040101 0.054220 0.070460 0.090227
2025-11-30 0.011175 0.018581 0.027906 0.040000 0.054815 0.071979 0.092991
2025-12-07 0.010168 0.017552 0.027020 0.039458 0.054845 0.072803 0.094920
2025-12-14 0.009256 0.016599 0.026188 0.038946 0.054878 0.073607 0.096804
2025-12-21 0.008208 0.015395 0.024978 0.037912 0.054235 0.073574 0.097677
2025-12-28 0.007933 0.015277 0.025192 0.038683 0.055811 0.076194 0.101686
2026-01-04 0.007513 0.014925 0.025073 0.039012 0.056828 0.078136 0.104887
2026-01-11 0.006926 0.014289 0.024546 0.038790 0.057140 0.079212 0.107048
2026-01-18 0.006753 0.014272 0.024858 0.039662 0.058825 0.081956 0.111207
2026-01-25 0.006377 0.013918 0.024688 0.039886 0.059683 0.083688 0.114149
2026-02-01 0.005920 0.013411 0.024285 0.039784 0.060115 0.084890 0.116448